Flemington (VIC) – Soft 5
R1 – TCL Trophy (BM70) – 1700m
13:00 — Fillies & Mares
Analysis:
Pretty even contest to start the day and the top few look well placed. Junebug was strong late first up and historically improves at her second run back — expecting she runs well again. First Chorus has been ultra consistent this prep and just missed last time on similar ground — definite threat. Saxon Beauty was a surprise placegetter at The Valley and if she handles the drop back in trip, she can be competitive. Brave Miss continues to race well this preparation and comes into this in winning form — one to keep very safe.
Selections:
2. Junebug (17) — $15.00
11. First Chorus (18) — $4.40
7. Saxon Beauty (10) — $23.00
- Brave Miss (6) — $96.50
R2 – RDA Subzero (BM90) – 1400m
13:35
Analysis:
Looks a race where the top pair stand out. Statuario has been running well in deeper company and appears suited stepping back to this trip — shapes as a leading chance. Getafix has been racing in strong grade and brings the right form — likely to be in the finish. Feeling Dusty resumes and has shown ability fresh before — worth respecting. Berkshire Shadow draws soft and should get the ideal run if things break right.
Selections:
- Statuario (5) — $8.00
- Getafix (7) — $2.80
- Feeling Dusty (13) — $12.00
- Berkshire Shadow (1) — $8.50
R3 – Inglis Bracelet – 1600m
14:10 — Fillies & Mares SW+P
Analysis:
The leading trio look to have the edge. Keep Your Cool has been racing consistently at metro level and only just missed last outing — well placed again. Moonlight Circus continues to race well and was solid last start — right in contention. Enna’s Dream rarely runs a poor race and maps well to get the right run here. Sneaky Sunrise goes well fresh and has strong track stats — one for wider exotics.
Selections:
4. Keep Your Cool (8) — $3.50
9. Moonlight Circus (10) — $7.00
8. Enna’s Dream (1) — $12.00
6. Sneaky Sunrise (5) — $11.00
R4 – Good Friday Appeal Trophy (BM90) – 1800m
14:45
Analysis:
Headlined by two very strong chances. Ziryab drops back into a more suitable city race and should strip fitter — leading hope. Shockletz has pieced together two excellent wins and is flying — clear danger. Zambardo comes out but keep an eye on Fortune, who continues to race well and brings winning form — can run a race.
Selections:
6. Ziryab (4) — $8.50
11. Shockletz (6) — $3.10
5. Fortune (9) — $8.50
R5 – Chester Manifold Stakes (LR) – 1600m
15:20
Analysis:
Oh Too Good didn’t have things go his way last start but his run prior was excellent and he looks well placed here. New Endeavour resumes and although drawn wide, has enough class to overcome it. Cartoon Graveyard has been racing consistently and returning to metro level may be beneficial. Apulia closed strongly to win fresh and maps for another competitive run.
Selections:
6. Oh Too Good (4) — $6.50
- New Endeavour (12) — $12.00
- Cartoon Graveyard (6) — $12.00
- Apulia (1) — $8.50
R6 – Country Final (BM80) – 1600m
15:55
Analysis:
Fridge Monster continues to race well and fought on strongly last start — appeals again. Barbie’sdreamworld comes in with two solid wins and can run well stepping up. Lake Vostok has been consistent and shapes as a major player again. Fearless Writer is honest and always around the mark — include in the chances.
Selections:
17. Fridge Monster (1) — $14.00
10. Barbie’sdreamworld (12) — $23.00
15. Lake Vostok (8) — $5.50
12. Fearless Writer (11) — $20.00
R7 – Crown Red Roses Stakes (G3) – 1100m
16:30 — 3YO Fillies
Analysis:
Point Barrow has been finishing off powerfully and looks to continue that here — top selection. Surf’s Up has done nothing wrong and the stable placement looks ideal. Akaysha has been close up in strong company and should be respected. Invincible Woman will be fitter now and looks an each-way hope at odds.
Selections:
7. Point Barrow (20) — $4.00
10. Surf’s Up (2) — $6.00
9. Akaysha (16) — $6.25
8. Invincible Woman (18) — $31.00
R8 – Crown Oaks (G1) – 2500m
17:10 — 3YO Fillies
Analysis:
Tempo will be key. Getta Good Feeling brings strong Group 1 form and backing up quickly looks ideal — clear one to beat. Just A Journey is super consistent and maps nicely. The Pearls continues to progress and can be competitive again here. After Summer is a track winner and comes into this off a strong run — include.
Selections:
- Getta Good Feeling (4) — $1.85
- Just A Journey (10) — $.9.50
- The Pearls (12) — $7.50
- After Summer (2) — $34.00
R9 – Century Stakes (LR) – 1000m
17:50
Analysis:
Hard to look past the top two. Nadal usually improves sharply second-up and looks primed. Rey Magnerio also loves this track and won impressively fresh — major threat. Trembles is building nicely and can surprise. Sir Now has the quick back-up and may find the right run.
Selections:
2. Nadal (14) — $5.50
- Rey Magnerio (2) — $2.90
- Trembles (12) — $13.00
- Sir Now (15) — $14.00