Zay Flowers – Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Miami’s secondary has been one of the weakest units in the league this season, ranking last in both defensive dropback EPA and success rate. This matchup sets up well for Zay Flowers, who remains Baltimore’s clear No. 1 target. He’s seen 19 targets over his last two games, but the production dipped with Cooper Rush and Tyler Huntley under center. With Lamar Jackson returning, the passing attack instantly gets more efficiency and timing. Flowers topped 70 yards in four of his first five games earlier in the year and should be in position to do damage again against a Miami defence that consistently gives up chunk plays through the air. The over is the play.