Minnesota @ Detroit
Justin Jefferson – Over 5.5 Receptions (-102)
Road volume continues to be strong, averaging ~7 catches per road game and clearing this line in three of his past four.
Play: Jefferson Over 5.5 Receptions
Jared Goff – Over 240.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Averaging ~247.7 passing yards at home and draws a favorable passing setup indoors at Ford Field.
Play: Goff Over 240.5 Passing Yards
Atlanta @ New England
Patriots -4.5 ($1.90)
New England are riding a five-game win streak with Drake Maye in top form (10 TD / 1 INT last 5) and a top-5 scoring defense that has shut down the run. Atlanta have stalled offensively and now face the toughest front they’ve seen this season.
Prediction: Patriots by 7–10
Arizona @ Dallas
Dallas -3 ($1.90)
Dallas continue to score heavily at home (41+ PPG) and should control tempo. Arizona enter on a five-game skid and may struggle with Murray underdone. Dak + Ferguson combination and home field edge should be decisive.
Prediction: Dallas by 6–10
Seattle @ Washington
Seattle -3 ($1.90)
Seattle come off a bye trending upward, while Washington have dropped three straight and are now without McLaurin. Seattle’s offense should move the ball consistently against a defense allowing 370+ yards per game.
Prediction: Seattle by 7–10
San Francisco @ New York
Total – Under 48.5
This game projects to play slower and tighter than the line suggests. San Francisco is likely to lean on their ground game and long, controlled drives, while New York has struggled to generate explosive plays or finish possessions. Both defenses match up well and should limit big scoring swings, leading to more punts and field goals than touchdowns. makes sense in a lower-tempo, defensive-driven matchup.
Jacksonville @ Las Vegas
This is a strong spot for Trevor Lawrence to put up numbers. Jacksonville is likely to lean on the pass here, and Lawrence has consistently been given the volume to work with. He’s been throwing the ball a lot this season, and now he gets to play in a dome, which means no weather issues and a cleaner passing environment — always a plus for quarterbacks. The Raiders have also been vulnerable through the air, allowing steady production to opposing QBs. With the matchup, environment, and expected game flow all pointing the same direction, Lawrence should comfortably clear this yardage line.
