Kyler Murray is out, Carson Wentz starts and Buffalo's offensive line is banged up. We like the under on Monday Night Football in Minnesota.
Chicago should win at Soldier Field, but Tampa Bay have the best defence in the league since Week 5. We take the Bucs with the start on a possibly wet night.
The total for the Madrid game has risen past 51 on the back of Cincinnati's hot attack. We think it has gone too far and back the under.
Seattle's defence just held the Chiefs to three points and now meets a run-first Bears side. We like the Seahawks to cover 3.5 at home.
Jalen Hurts is out and the line has blown to 6.5, but Washington's leaky defence and Jayden Daniels' return point to points. We like the over 40.5.
Green Bay's recent games have been low scoring and Carolina's road games keep staying Under, so we back the Under at Lambeau to open Week 8.
The Saints are conceding almost 30 points a game and the Steelers run the ball well, so we want the overs in Paris, with Jaylen Warren the key player.
The unbeaten Vikings come off a bye and allow fewer than 13 points a game, so we back them to cover against a Colts side missing key defenders.
Detroit return from their bye with the NFL's joint-best attack. Every Lions game has gone over this season, and we back them to cover 3.5 against the Packers.
The Raiders score and concede 27 points a game, and the Rams' pass defence is struggling. Over 48.5 in Las Vegas is one of our stronger NFL bets this week.
Joe Burrow returns from a bye while Baltimore's quarterback situation is unsettled. We back the Bengals with the start in a game that looks close.
The unbeaten Chiefs visit Seattle as small underdogs. Kansas City are scoring 28 a game, and we think 42.5 is too low a total.
The unbeaten 49ers host a Commanders side that has won once in five games. We back San Francisco to cover at home and build an SGM around Mike Evans.
The unbeaten Chiefs come off a bye to host a winless Chargers side. We expect a Kansas City win but think 7.5 points is a lot to give in a divisional game.
A rested, high-scoring Panthers side visit an Eagles defence giving up 400 yards a game. The winner is hard to pick, so we back the Over.
A 1-4 Saints side conceding 30 a game are favourites at MetLife, which looks wrong. We back the Giants at the line and add the Over in an SGM.
Drake Maye's Patriots should beat the Jets at home, but a strong Jets defence makes the 7.5-point line hard to call. We take New England head to head.
Week 6 starts at Mile High, with rain and wind forecast. We like Denver at home with the start and expect a low-scoring game between two struggling offences.
The Saints are giving up 32 points a game but have scored at least 24 in every match, so we expect more points than the market has allowed when the unbeaten Vikings visit New Orleans.
The 49ers are 4-0 and scoring 30.5 points a game, yet they are still underdogs in Seattle, so we take San Francisco at $2.34 in the game of the week.
The Bears ran for 232 yards last week and face a Packers side that cannot run the ball, so we back Chicago to cover a small line at Lambeau.
Cincinnati have lost two straight as favourites and Ja'Marr Chase is in concussion protocol, so we take winless Miami with a 7.5-point start.
The Chargers are 0-4 but have won three of their last four meetings with Denver, and the Broncos are slow starters, so we take Los Angeles at home with a 3.5-point start.
The Browns have won three straight and the Jets managed just 157 yards last week without Breece Hall to come back, so Cleveland are value as underdogs at $2.10.
Arizona were last in the league for net yards per play coming into last week and Dan Campbell's Lions usually respond after a loss, so we back Detroit to cover 4.5.
Atlanta have scored 80 points in their last two games and Baltimore average 29 a game, so we back the over in Sunday night's game while Lamar Jackson's ankle is in doubt.
Both teams are 0-4 and Houston have not covered a line all season, so we take the Titans with a 7.5-point start at home.
Every Cowboys game has gone over this season and the Buccaneers have injuries in the secondary on a short week, so the total is our play on Thursday Night Football.
The Lions have the more efficient offence and every one of their games has been high scoring, so we are backing Detroit to win in Carolina and building the SGM around their attack.
The reigning champion Seahawks are at home against a winless Chargers side, and we are prepared to give 7.5 points, although this is not a bet to go big on.
The Vikings are 3-0 and the Dolphins are conceding almost 29 points a game, so we would rather play the low total of 38.5 than lay 10.5 points.
Both defences are giving up more than 30 points a game and every Commanders game has gone over, so the total is our play in London, with the Colts the slight pick to win.
The unbeaten Bills average almost 34 points a game and the Patriots have not reached 21 in any game, so we lay the 6.5 points with Buffalo at home.
The 49ers are 3-0, scoring almost 33 points a game and have not allowed a sack, so we are happy to give the Broncos 2.5 points at Levi's Stadium.
Our sources split on who wins this NFC South rivalry, but they agree the total is too high, so the under 48.5 is our play in New Orleans.
The Rams are 1-2 but have played better than their record, and the Eagles' offence is near the bottom of the league, so we take Los Angeles to win in Philadelphia and leave the 3.5-point line alone.
Every AFC North team is 2-1, and the Steelers look the better side after a strong win over Cincinnati, but this is a small-stakes bet in a short-week divisional game with a low total.
Chicago are down to a backup quarterback, possibly one who has not played since 2023, while unbeaten Philadelphia have injuries of their own, so we back the Eagles to win rather than to cover a big line.
NSW vs QLD tips for State of Origin Game 2 centre on whether Queensland can bounce back after a brutal late loss in Sydney. Game 1 showed both sides have points in them, but the Maroons looked the bet
San Francisco hosts Carolina in a matchup that could be more open than expected, with both offenses showing form and defensive injuries likely to create space in the passing game. With the total high
Week 12 offers several intriguing matchups with sneaky value across the board. The Jets look competitive enough to trouble Baltimore, Chicago faces a tough defensive test against Pittsburgh, and Tampa
Week 11 brings a slate full of value and action. Miami meets Washington in Madrid, Seattle and the Rams headline an NFC shootout, and the Chiefs battle the Broncos in a divisional test. The Bengals-St
Week 11 kicks off with an AFC East showdown between the Patriots and Jets, where recent scoring trends point to a more open game than usual. With both teams finding form, there’s good value to be foun
Philadelphia comes in off the bye healthy and recharged, with their key playmakers back and the offensive line ready to set the tone. Green Bay has shown they can move the ball. Expect a competitive,
Week 10 features key momentum spots across the league. The Colts and Falcons meet in Berlin, Baltimore looks sharp heading into Minnesota, and Miami’s speed challenges Buffalo’s discipline. New Englan
This Thursday sets up as a grindy divisional matchup. Denver’s winning but banged up and coming off a heavy schedule stretch, while Vegas showed signs of life last week. Both sides lean on slower, pos
A focused NFL slate with clear matchup edges around quarterback form, defensive stability and home-field advantage. Several spots shape well for teams and players trending upward in both efficiency an
Lamar’s return boosts Baltimore’s passing game, and Miami hasn’t been able to slow receivers all year. Flowers is in line for a solid workload and good yardage upside.
