Best Bet
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 at $1.90. Seattle’s defence is one of the best in the league. It has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 36 straight games, gives up only 3.5 yards a carry, and no quarterback has passed for more than 189 yards against it this season. That matters against a Chicago side that leads the league with 154 rushing yards a game. If Seattle shut down the run, Chicago’s attack loses its main weapon. A five-point Seattle win is a reasonable expectation, which just covers the line, so treat this as a sound bet rather than a strong one.
The reasoning
Seattle are around $1.57 to win at home, with Chicago around $2.42. The Seahawks are coming off a 20-3 win over Kansas City in which the Chiefs never reached the red zone, a first in Patrick Mahomes’ career. Seattle concede only 17.9 points a game. Their two recent losses, 17-14 in Denver and 32-29 to San Francisco, were both close.
Chicago are in form. They have won two straight, against Atlanta and New England, and have covered the line in five of seven games. They average 25.7 points a game. Caleb Williams is not on the injury report, but Kyle Monangai is likely out, which leaves more of the load to D’Andre Swift and Roschon Johnson. Tight end Colston Loveland is also an injury concern.
Seattle have injuries too. Starting tackle Charles Cross and receiver Rashid Shaheed are out, and edge rusher Uchenna Nwosu is in doubt. Shaheed’s absence pushes even more of the passing game towards Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who already has a 36 per cent target share and more than half of Seattle’s air yards. Zach Charbonnet could return.
The total of 46.5 is the joint-highest of Seattle’s season, and our sources disagree on it. One leans slightly over, and another likes the under because Seattle’s defence controls games. That split is why we prefer the side.
Same Game Multi (SGM)
SGM (3 legs):
- Seattle Seahawks to win - an elite defence at home against a run-first attack it is built to stop.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown - Seattle’s attack runs through him, and Shaheed’s absence lifts his share again.
- D’Andre Swift over 3.5 receptions - he has four or more catches in each of his last two games, and Monangai being out plus a likely chasing game script should keep him busy as a receiver.
Combined price: $6.80
How we’d play it
Seattle at the line is the main bet at a normal stake. If you are wary of a hook game, Seattle head-to-head at around $1.57 is the safer option. Keep the SGM stake small. Kick-off is 12:15pm AEDT on Tuesday 3 November at Lumen Field, so check the final injury list on Tuesday morning before betting.
