Best Bet
Over 43.5 total points at $1.90. Atlanta have scored 80 points over their last two games, including 45 against New Orleans. Baltimore are averaging 29 points a game. A total of 43.5 looks too low for these two attacks. This is a medium-strength bet because Lamar Jackson may not play.
The reasoning
Lamar Jackson has an ankle injury and missed training again this week, so Tyler Huntley is expected to start. That makes the line hard to bet, because it could change sharply. The total is a better bet because both teams should still score.
Atlanta have recovered after a 34-3 home loss to Carolina early in the season. Their running game is working well, and they came into this week in their best scoring form of the season. Baltimore are 3-1 and still have tackle Ronnie Stanley, who trained fully, to protect whoever plays at quarterback.
The projections we have seen are between 47 and 49 points, well above the market.
Main danger: If Huntley struggles, Baltimore may not score enough to help the over. Check Jackson’s status on Saturday morning our time, because his availability changes this game.
Same Game Multi (SGM)
SGM (3 legs):
- Over 43.5 total points - both attacks are scoring well.
- Baltimore Ravens +3.5 - most projections have this within a point either way.
- Atlanta Falcons 20+ points - they have scored 80 points in their last two games.
Combined price: $6.80
How we’d play it
- Main bet: Over 43.5 at $1.90.
- Other option: Ravens +3.5 at $1.90, but only if Jackson is cleared to play.
- SGM: Small stake only.
- Kick-off is 11:20am AEDT on Monday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
