UFC ON ESPN 73 — Full Card Tips
All odds supplied by Teambet
Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio
Play: Marco Tulio to Win — $1.53
Tulio has shown real finishing power and composure in his UFC run, stopping both opponents by strikes. Duncan is creative but inconsistent and can be pressured when fights get physical. Tulio’s sturdier boxing and forward pressure should let him dictate the exchanges and score the cleaner moments over three rounds.
Chris Padilla vs Ismael Bonfim
Play: Chris Padilla to Win — $2.64
Padilla has been steady, disciplined and continues to show improvement, especially defensively. Bonfim is dangerous but chaotic — when his early speed doesn’t break opponents, he fades. Over three rounds, Padilla’s composure and grappling edge give him a strong chance to win minutes and steal rounds.
Matt Schnell vs Joseph Morales
Play: Fight NOT to Go the Distance — $1.48
Both men are aggressive finishers and neither is known for sustained durability. Schnell is explosive but hittable, while Morales attacks relentlessly once he gains control. Given their styles and finishing histories, this fight strongly trends toward an early stoppage either way.
Ricky Simon vs Raoni Barcelos
Play: Ricky Simon to Win — $1.57
Simon’s wrestling pressure and pace are difference-makers. Even if takedowns don’t stick, constant attempts will force Barcelos backward and limit his ability to counter. With Simon also improving his boxing volume, he should be able to win rounds through control and output.
Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic
Play: Uros Medic to Win — $1.62
Medic is the younger, faster, and more accurate striker at this stage. Salikhov is still dangerous, but at 41 his reactions have slowed and he gets hit more often. If Medic keeps this at range, his southpaw accuracy and volume should be decisive.
Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown
Play: Gabriel Bonfim to Win — $1.53
Bonfim’s clearest path is wrestling and submission pressure. Brown is long and sharp on the feet, but his takedown defense has been exploited lately, and Bonfim’s grappling output is high. If Bonfim commits to early takedowns, he should control position and find finishing chances.
BONFIM vs BROWN — Stylistic Breakdown
Brown has the reach edge and cleaner boxing.
Bonfim has far superior takedowns and submission setups.
Brown fades later; Bonfim’s issue is cardio if he wrestles inefficiently.
→ If Bonfim starts fast and forces the clinch, he likely controls the fight.
Lean: Bonfim via Submission is live value, but ML is the safe play.
Best Value Slip (Teambet Odds)
Fight Play Odds
Duncan vs Tulio Tulio Win $1.53
Padilla vs Bonfim Padilla Win $2.64
Schnell vs Morales Fight Goes Under / Doesn’t Go Distance $1.48
Simon vs Barcelos Simon Win $1.57
Salikhov vs Medic Medic Win $1.62
Bonfim vs Brown Bonfim Win $1.53
