Mornington Horse Racing Analysis for Sunday, May 10th

Mornington – Soft 6

R1 – Sportsbet Jockey Watch Maiden Plate – 1200m

2. Balmoral Castle ($2.50) brings strong NSW form into this and looks ready to break through after a solid fresh effort at Wyong. 3. Beau Strada ($2.90) has been racing consistently this prep and should be prominent throughout. 8. Majestic Choice ($4.80) resumes with encouraging trial form, while 11. She Won’t Fold ($16.00) is an interesting debutant from a strong stable.

Tips:
2. Balmoral Castle – $2.50
3. Beau Strada – $2.90
8. Majestic Choice – $4.80
11. She Won’t Fold – $16.00

R2 – Sportsbet Black Book Maiden Plate – 1000m

10. Doralee ($2.70) resumes off excellent trial work and brings strong form lines from NSW into this race. 9. Unriddle ($2.70) continues to race consistently and should get every chance from the draw. 8. Super Luck Dragon ($4.60) has trialled well between runs and can improve sharply, while 6. Pull My Finger ($8.50) remains competitive despite another tough maiden assignment.

Tips:
10. Doralee – $2.70
9. Unriddle – $2.70
8. Super Luck Dragon – $4.60
6. Pull My Finger – $8.50

R3 – Sportsbet Fast Form Maiden Plate – 1000m

2. Filthy ($2.00) has impressed in recent jump-outs and looks ready to run a big race on debut with blinkers added. 9. Chisholm ($2.30) resumes after dominant trial performances and clearly has the talent to win this. 7. Vintell ($15.00) is worth monitoring on debut for a capable yard, while 1. Deltakai ($23.00) can improve with race experience.

Tips:
2. Filthy – $2.00
9. Chisholm – $2.30
7. Vintell – $15.00

1. Deltakai – $23.00

R4 – Sportsbet Fixed Odds Exotics Handicap – 1000m

2. Mr Markle ($2.80) drops into a suitable race and looks one of the hardest to beat despite the slight rise in class. 1. Moaksun ($3.20) has a sharp finishing sprint and should be charging late. 3. Derelict ($8.00) resumes with upside and a strong jockey booking, while 8. Irresistible Sir ($10.00) can improve again after placing at odds last start.

Tips:
2. Mr Markle – $2.80

1. Moaksun – $3.20
2. Derelict – $8.00
3. Irresistible Sir – $10.00

R5 – Sportsbet Feed Handicap – 1200m

7. Ania ($3.50) closed strongly last time and looks ready to win in this grade. 11. Magnea ($6.50) resumes in good order after a recent trial placing and should be competitive. 4. Arabian Myth ($6.50) can improve sharply second-up after working home well fresh, while 10. Skellig Rock ($8.50) continues to race consistently on the quick backup.

Tips:
7. Ania – $3.50
11. Magnea – $6.50
4. Arabian Myth – $6.50
10. Skellig Rock – $8.50

R6 – Sportsbet Same Race Multi Handicap – 2030m

2. Real Intrigue ($4.20) gets weight relief and looks ready to improve stepping out to this distance again. 1. Luckyheleft ($4.80) should be finishing strongly late, while 3. The Kings Gospel ($4.20) can bounce back in a very even race. 4. Vistetto ($12.00) hit the line well last time and can surprise at odds.

Tips:
2. Real Intrigue – $4.20

1. Luckyheleft – $4.80
2. The Kings Gospel – $4.20
3. Vistetto – $12.00

R7 – Sportsbet Race Replays Handicap – 1500m

3. Bearbrassblackfish ($6.00) drops back to non-metro grade and can improve sharply after a recent trial. 8. Imposing Tallulah ($7.00) gets a favourable draw and can bounce back quickly on the seven-day turnaround. 6. Fearless Monarch ($5.00) has gear changes applied and should be competitive, while 9. Epicus ($11.00) comes off a solid placing at Pakenham and looks a genuine chance.

Tips:
3. Bearbrassblackfish – $6.00
8. Imposing Tallulah – $7.00
6. Fearless Monarch – $5.00
9. Epicus – $11.00