Rosehill Gardens races on Saturday with ten races, starting at 12:25pm AEDT. The feature races are the Group 2 Hot Danish Stakes for fillies and mares and the Group 3 Five Diamonds. The track was rated a Good 4 at the time of writing.
Savvy Spy in Race 3 is our best bet after two wins in a row. Lazzura is a short price in the Hot Danish but has strong recent form. Storm Season (Race 4) and Nitro (Race 10) are the value plays on the card.
Race 1 - TAB Highway Handicap (1200m)
Selection: Mainstay Current odds: $4.40
Mainstay is unbeaten from three starts and won strongly at Scone last time. The step up to Highway company is the test, but the record is hard to ignore. Yesspecially is also unbeaten from two starts and resumes after 22 weeks, which makes it the main danger and the market favourite. Defiance has won three in a row, and Just Hear Me Out won fresh at Wagga.
Selections:
- Mainstay - $4.40
- Yesspecially - $3.10
- Just Hear Me Out - $18.00
- Defiance - $5.50
Race 2 - Midway Handicap (1300m)
Selection: Lawless Lucy Current odds: $5.50
Lawless Lucy won first-up this preparation and was sixth at Randwick last start. The drop back to this grade should help. I Am Carrot has drawn very wide in 16 but has the early speed to get across, so is an each-way chance. Scintilla has drawn barrier 2 and should lead or sit just off the speed. Maidoff has won two of four this campaign and is the favourite.
Selections:
- Lawless Lucy - $5.50
- I Am Carrot - $8.00
- Scintilla - $8.50
- Maidoff - $3.90
Race 3 - Ranvet Handicap (2400m)
Selection: Savvy Spy Current odds: $2.35
This is our best bet of the day. Savvy Spy has won the last two at Warwick Farm and Hawkesbury and is in top form going over the 2400m. The wide draw in 10 is the only query, but over this trip there is time to find a spot. Savisanta ran third at Caulfield and has the blinkers removed, so is the main danger. Criteria has placed in every run this campaign apart from a Kembla Grange win, and Nkosi rounds out the exotics.
Selections:
- Savvy Spy - $2.35
- Savisanta - $4.80
- Criteria - $7.00
- Nkosi - $9.00
Race 4 - Vale Rob Burnet Handicap (1800m)
Selection: Storm Season Current odds: $9.50
There is little between the top three here, so we take the value. Storm Season won at Warwick Farm two runs back and comes from a strong stable. Samarelle has won the last two at Eagle Farm and Warwick Farm and is right in this. Botanical Boy was only just beaten at Kensington and is the favourite, and Without Peer placed at Warwick Farm this preparation.
Selections:
- Storm Season - $9.50
- Samarelle - $5.00
- Without Peer - $10.00
- Botanical Boy - $4.80
Race 5 - Singapore Pools Handicap (1400m)
Selection: Cashout Current odds: $2.75
Cashout led all the way to win at Cranbourne last start and has drawn barrier 3, so should get the same easy run. Pasadena was just beaten first-up at Ballarat and should improve. Probability Theory has won both times second-up and is a sneaky chance. Shotgun Bella placed second-up last preparation and can run on.
Selections:
- Cashout - $2.75
- Pasadena - $9.50
- Probability Theory - $8.00
- Shotgun Bella - $10.00
Race 6 - Golden Gift (1100m)
Selection: Toytown Current odds: $9.50
A Listed race for two-year-olds with a lot of unknowns and probably not much speed. Toytown debuts for a good stable and is our value pick. Silent Intent ran third on debut at Flemington on a heavy track and has won a trial since, so is the clear form runner. Sharjawiyah is another debutant from a strong stable, and Freeflow is a roughie for exotics.
Selections:
- Toytown - $9.50
- Silent Intent - $6.50
- Freeflow - $31.00
- Sharjawiyah - $6.50
Race 7 - Toyota Forklifts Hot Danish Stakes (1400m)
Selection: Lazzura Current odds: $1.50
Lazzura has won the last two at Randwick and Rosehill and has drawn barrier 2. She is the one to beat, but at $1.50 is better as a multi leg than a straight bet. Gerringong won first-up this preparation and is the most likely danger. Chains Of Love won fresh at Randwick on a soft track, and Surf’s Up has drawn barrier 1 for an economical run.
Selections:
- Lazzura - $1.50
- Chains Of Love - $10.00
- Gerringong - $6.50
- Surf’s Up - $27.00
Race 8 - Five Diamonds (1800m)
Selection: Declichy Boulevard Current odds: $4.20
Declichy Boulevard finished strongly to win at Randwick last start and has won two of four this campaign. Linebacker was beaten narrowly as favourite at Randwick and has placed twice from three runs, so is the main danger. Tuxedo placed in the Howden Insurance Mile and the Livamol Classic this campaign and has drawn barrier 1. Evaporate is the other one to include.
Selections:
- Declichy Boulevard - $4.20
- Linebacker - $6.00
- Evaporate - $8.00
- Tuxedo - $10.00
Race 9 - Grant Burge Handicap (1100m)
Selection: Agatha Current odds: $3.10
Agatha has drawn barrier 1 and placed twice from three runs this preparation in city races. Swordplay is the danger after a trial win, even from a wide draw. Show Business made good ground first-up at Warwick Farm and should be better for that run. Detain resumes after winning the last two at Muswellbrook and Scone and is the each-way roughie.
Selections:
- Agatha - $3.10
- Show Business - $3.80
- Detain - $19.00
- Swordplay - $3.50
Race 10 - Kia Ora Bloodlines To Headlines Handicap (1200m)
Selection: Nitro Current odds: $4.80
Horseshoe Hill is the favourite at $1.90 after just missing first-up at Warwick Farm, but we will take the value. Nitro made good ground first-up at Warwick Farm and has trialled since, so should improve a lot. Horseshoe Hill is still the main danger. Let’s Go Again won at big odds at Randwick last start, and Annie’s Rose goes well at Rosehill.
Selections:
- Nitro - $4.80
- Let’s Go Again - $11.00
- Annie’s Rose - $11.00
- Horseshoe Hill - $1.90
