Sale races on Sunday with nine races headed by the Listed Sale Cup over 1600m. The track was rated a Good 4 when tips came out, so there should be no excuses on the ground.
Bel Mezyaan in Race 8 is our most confident bet. Ten Commandments has the best form in the Cup, and Yes Yoshi looks the right one to close the day with. Julius Maximus in Race 3 is very short but looks the clear one to beat.
Race 1 - Ladbrokes Switch Maiden Plate (1200m)
Selection: Loaded Current odds: $1.80
Loaded was only just beaten as favourite on debut at Pakenham Synthetic. The Price and Kent stable should have improved him from that run, and he rates the one to beat. Trouble’n Paradise is the danger at odds. He placed third at Bendigo on a soft track and gets blinkers for the first time. Armorware has run in the placings in both starts and gets a good draw.
Selections:
- Loaded - $1.80
- Trouble’n Paradise - $13.00
- Armorware - $8.50
- Big Kapow - $9.00
Race 2 - Grassdale Estate 4yo+ Maiden Plate (1400m)
Selection: Castelli In Aria Current odds: $7.50
Castelli In Aria was disappointing when second as favourite first up at Bairnsdale, but she has placed every time she has been favourite. The Jusufovic stable should have her fitter second up, and $7.50 is a fair price. Rough Enuff is the favourite after just missing first up at Seymour. Goodness resumes after 19 weeks and ran third first up last time.
Selections:
- Castelli In Aria - $7.50
- Rough Enuff - $4.00
- Goodness - $5.50
- Silky Seth - $10.00
Race 3 - Kustom Steel Fabrication 3yo Maiden Plate (1400m)
Selection: Julius Maximus Current odds: $1.70
Julius Maximus finished third, less than a length from the winner, on debut at Cranbourne and should go forward from that. He has the early speed to get across from the wide gate. The price is short, but he is the clear pick. Majestic Flyer was narrowly beaten at long odds on debut at Bendigo and looks the main danger. Cab Franc ran on well for third at Cranbourne.
Selections:
- Julius Maximus - $1.70
- Majestic Flyer - $3.90
- Cab Franc - $13.00
- Sisterly - $9.50
Race 4 - Ladbrokes Mega Multi BM66 Handicap (1600m)
Selection: Mount Sabyinyo Current odds: $3.50
Mount Sabyinyo was beaten less than a length at Geelong on a soft track and should be fitter again. He should settle close to the lead. Feeling Dusty was just beaten first up at Bendigo, finished well, and the rise to a mile should suit. Wounder ran third at Doomben, drops to a country race and draws well for a new stable. Tanabata won at Kyneton for the Waller stable.
Selections:
- Mount Sabyinyo - $3.50
- Feeling Dusty - $3.50
- Wounder - $6.00
- Tanabata - $5.50
Race 5 - Fantasy Cocktails BM66 Handicap (2200m)
Selection: Navy Heart Current odds: $4.20
This is an even staying race. Navy Heart is the favourite and comes from a strong stable. He did not finish off his last run at Seymour, but the longer trip should help. Tishman has won twice at Sale and won first up here last time, so he can’t be ignored despite carrying more weight. Saxon Blood has two wins this campaign and was just beaten at Manangatang. He is the value runner.
Selections:
- Navy Heart - $4.20
- Tishman - $7.00
- Saxon Blood - $10.00
- Cable Dancer - $10.00
Race 6 - Irwin Stockfeeds BM66 Handicap (1000m)
Selection: Nordic Strike Current odds: $6.50
Nordic Strike has the speed to cross from a wide gate and placed at Warrnambool last start. He is our pick in an open sprint. Fehmarn has won three of six this campaign, including last start at Cranbourne, and is the main danger. Crank resumes after 21 weeks and won first up on a heavy track at Terang last preparation.
Selections:
- Nordic Strike - $6.50
- Fehmarn - $5.00
- Crank - $10.00
- Blue Humma - $11.00
Race 7 - Ladbrokes Sale Cup (Listed, 1600m)
Selection: Ten Commandments Current odds: $2.90
Ten Commandments has won four of eight this campaign at metro level. He lost ground at Flemington on a heavy track last start, so the good track at Sale should suit him much better. He gets the nod. Enxuto drops from Caulfield and has placed fresh in metro company. He is the best of the rest. Haaracaine won at Ballarat last start for a strong stable and is the each-way play at a bigger price.
Selections:
- Ten Commandments - $2.90
- Enxuto - $5.50
- Haaracaine - $9.50
- Makdane - $7.00
Race 8 - Turnbull Toyota BM70 Handicap (1400m)
Selection: Bel Mezyaan Current odds: $2.90
This is our best bet of the day. Bel Mezyaan resumes after 20 weeks but won a recent trial and ran third first up at Sandown last preparation. He has drawn to get a good run. Wetumpka is the clear danger. He has placed at every start this preparation and was narrowly beaten as a well-backed runner at Seymour. Little separates the pair in the market, but we prefer Bel Mezyaan.
Selections:
- Bel Mezyaan - $2.90
- Wetumpka - $2.80
- Chicago Blues - $17.00
- Boltsaver - $16.00
Race 9 - Ladbrokes Place Extra BM70 Handicap (1200m)
Selection: Yes Yoshi Current odds: $3.40
Yes Yoshi ran fourth at Caulfield before a spell and has trialled since. He meets an easier field here and is the one to beat. Electric Elvis has two wins this campaign and was just beaten at Seymour on a soft track. Balance has placed at every start this preparation and drops in weight.
Selections:
- Yes Yoshi - $3.40
- Electric Elvis - $4.80
- Balance - $6.00
- Let It Beel - $16.00
