Swan Hill has eight races on Tuesday, starting at 1:30pm. The track was rated a Soft 6 when tips came out. The first four races are maidens with limited form, while the last four are Benchmark 62 handicaps.
Neziha in the last race is our best bet. What Once Was in the opener and Killiana in Race 5 are the next best. Dealer Sing in Race 7 is the value play at a fair price. Keep stakes small in Races 2 and 3, where there is not much form to work with.
Race 1 - Bet365 Same Race Multi Maiden Plate (975m)
Selection: What Once Was Current odds: $2.00
What Once Was has had an eight-week freshen and placed in three of four runs this preparation, including a second at Warracknabeal. He has plenty of early speed for this short trip and deserves to be favourite. Ostrom has the inside draw and should improve on his eighth at Bairnsdale. Winna’s Sister is a debutant for Nick Ryan, and Flash Inquiry returns from a spell.
Selections:
- What Once Was - $2.00
- Ostrom - $4.40
- Winna’s Sister - $4.40
- Flash Inquiry - $5.50
Race 2 - Jarrod Arentz Electrical & Solar Solutions Maiden Plate (1200m)
Selection: Celtic Spy Current odds: $3.70
This is one of the hardest races of the day. Celtic Spy returns after 22 weeks with the blinkers off, and he was a close third first up last preparation at Warwick Farm. That is the best form in the race. King Koruna ran third at Mildura and is the main danger. Gangland should improve fresh. Carnevale wears blinkers for the first time after a third at Seymour.
Selections:
- Celtic Spy - $3.70
- King Koruna - $7.00
- Gangland - $8.00
- Carnevale - $6.00
Race 3 - Ultima Hotel Maiden Plate (1200m)
Selection: Gamadale Paddy Current odds: $3.60
Gamadale Paddy ran on late for second at Mildura first up and should be fitter now for Taige Weir. We are taking him on against the debut favourite. Tremont is a first starter from a strong stable, and the market has him at $1.90, so watch the betting. She’s Loaded has placed four times in five runs this preparation, and Back Up Barbie has early speed.
Selections:
- Gamadale Paddy - $3.60
- Tremont - $1.90
- She’s Loaded - $5.00
- Back Up Barbie - $16.00
Race 4 - Footts Swan Hill Demolition Group Maiden Plate (1600m)
Selection: Windsor Chariot Current odds: $3.00
Windsor Chariot was midfield at Pakenham in his only start and should improve with that run behind him. The 1600m looks suitable. Town Planner is the favourite on debut for the Paynes, so the market will tell you more about him. Ted Percy ran third at Mildura and has placed twice this preparation. Pete The Prophet has drawn well and drops back to country class.
Selections:
- Windsor Chariot - $3.00
- Town Planner - $2.80
- Ted Percy - $5.50
- Pete The Prophet - $6.50
Race 5 - Busbiz.net.au BM62 Handicap (975m)
Selection: Killiana Current odds: $3.10
Killiana resumes after 18 weeks but won a trial during the break and only just missed first up last preparation at Sale. She has good speed for the short trip. Ziggy Bama has won two of four this campaign and draws well, so he is the main danger. Maximillius returns from 27 weeks after winning easily here last start. Monix drops in grade.
Selections:
- Killiana - $3.10
- Ziggy Bama - $3.60
- Maximillius - $8.00
- Monix - $9.00
Race 6 - Pooles Accountants & Tax Specialists BM62 Handicap (2400m)
Selection: Verifier Current odds: $3.90
Verifier was just beaten here last start and has placed four times in eight runs this preparation. He is the favourite and handles this track. Legend Beast ran second at Warrnambool and is the main danger. Only Opera won at Ballarat two runs back and should get a soft run from the inside. Motiver won at Warrnambool three runs back.
Selections:
- Verifier - $3.90
- Legend Beast - $4.00
- Only Opera - $5.00
- Motiver - $8.50
Race 7 - McLardy McShane Insurance Swan Hill BM62 Handicap (1600m)
Selection: Dealer Sing Current odds: $5.00
Dealer Sing returns after 21 weeks and led all the way to win first up last preparation at Kilmore. He has the speed to cross from the wide draw, and he is our value bet. Switch Hit has placed five times in six runs this preparation and ran second at Kilmore. Habitual is the favourite and gets a weight drop and a good draw. His Finest Hour drops in grade.
Selections:
- Dealer Sing - $5.00
- Switch Hit - $5.00
- Habitual - $3.40
- His Finest Hour - $7.00
Race 8 - Bottle-O Xmas Races BM62 Handicap (1200m)
Selection: Neziha Current odds: $2.80
Neziha won first up at Pakenham and has a good record so far. Her stable places horses well, and she is our best bet of the day. Two To Tango placed at Sale second up and is the main danger. Baganov was third as favourite at Tatura but has placed at every start this preparation. Sir Loyne won at Manangatang and has the inside draw.
Selections:
- Neziha - $2.80
- Two To Tango - $4.80
- Baganov - $10.00
- Sir Loyne - $14.00
