Wyong hosts an eight-race provincial meeting on Thursday, starting at 1:15pm AEDT. The track was rated a Good 4 when tips came out, and the rail is out 3 metres. That usually helps horses racing on or near the speed.
Mayflower in Race 4 is our best bet. The Michael Freedman filly has trialled impressively at Randwick and looks a good prospect. Senjutsu in Race 3 is the value play. Blue Eyed Brigid in the last is very short in the market but rates the right favourite.
Race 1 - Sal - App - Electra - Trader BM64 Handicap (2125m)
Selection: Can’t Recall One Current odds: $2.30
Can’t Recall One was narrowly beaten at long odds at Newcastle on a soft track last start and has already won at Tuncurry this preparation. Zac Lloyd is in good form for the stable. Serpico was well beaten at Randwick but drops to an easier grade and has a good draw. Satono’s Shout placed at Newcastle this preparation and can improve on a disappointing last run.
Selections:
- Can’t Recall One - $2.30
- Serpico - $2.90
- Satono’s Shout - $4.20
- Dolce Dior - $6.50
Race 2 - Prysmian Cables Fillies & Mares Class 1 Handicap (1200m)
Selection: Royal Silver Current odds: $2.40
Royal Silver resumes from a 31-week spell. She ran a strong second first-up at Canterbury last preparation and has trialled since. With Zac Lloyd riding for Michael Freedman, she has a strong combination on board. Moscow Maid has won at Hawkesbury and placed this preparation, so she is the main danger. Erin Jo nearly won first-up last time and drops in grade, which makes her a fair each-way chance.
Selections:
- Royal Silver - $2.40
- Moscow Maid - $2.90
- Erin Jo - $4.40
- Frostisen - $15.00
Race 3 - Haneco - GTS - HPM Legrand Class 1 Handicap (1200m)
Selection: Senjutsu Current odds: $3.20
This is a strong Class 1 race, and Senjutsu is our value pick. The Bjorn Baker runner did not get the right conditions first-up last preparation over 1300m and is better suited at 1200m. Both trials this time were against good company, and the stable is in good form. Marchon is the main danger. Marchon is consistent and was just beaten when heavily backed last start, but has to carry 60kg first-up. Jaguar Paw returns from a year off after a 3-length maiden win at Ballarat and looks short in the market.
Selections:
- Senjutsu - $3.20
- Marchon - $2.60
- Jaguar Paw - $3.10
- Gravel Road - $6.50
Race 4 - Schneider - Atkore - Pipemakers Super Maiden Plate (1100m)
Selection: Mayflower Current odds: $2.30
This is our best bet. Mayflower is a Capitalist filly having her first start for Michael Freedman, and she won a Randwick trial earlier this month. Both of her trials have been eye-catching. She can settle on the speed or just behind it, which gives her options from a slightly awkward draw. Benson is the main danger after a good debut second at Hawkesbury, and should lead with the rail out. Brutal Advance has placed at all three runs this preparation and should be in the finish.
Selections:
- Mayflower - $2.30
- Benson - $3.00
- Brutal Advance - $7.00
- Wild Courage - $13.00
Race 5 - Hunter Pacific - Matchmaster - Omni Maiden Plate (1625m)
Selection: Made In Italy Current odds: $3.40
Made In Italy has placed twice from three runs this preparation in metropolitan races and drops to provincial grade. That makes it the most reliable runner in the race. Ratify placed first-up at Rosehill and also drops in grade. Victorious Ruler was close to winning at Hawkesbury and will roll forward from a wide gate, so it rates as a strong place chance.
Selections:
- Made In Italy - $3.40
- Ratify - $3.40
- Victorious Ruler - $6.00
- Forsaken - $4.40
Race 6 - Go Electrical Midway Maiden Handicap (1000m)
Selection: Regal Profit Current odds: $2.60
This is an open maiden, and we will take the first starter Regal Profit, whose price suggests a good debut is expected. Don’t Doubt Darcy returns from almost a year off. It was fourth at Kembla Grange and should be fitter for that debut run. Intense Dream was beaten at Newcastle on debut but should improve with that experience. Sakurious is another debutant and draws to get a soft run on the inside.
Selections:
- Regal Profit - $2.60
- Don’t Doubt Darcy - $3.80
- Intense Dream - $5.00
- Sakurious - $6.50
Race 7 - Klein Tools - Evolt - Omega Power Provincial BM68 Handicap (1000m)
Selection: Valilee Current odds: $3.10
Valilee backs up quickly after fourth at Warwick Farm. It has drawn barrier 1 and should find the lead or a spot just behind it, with the rail out. Harry The Thief won first-up at Goulburn on a soft track and finishes well, which makes it the main danger at a good price. Emalyn has run in the placings at both starts this preparation. Charlina won a Hawkesbury trial on 20 October and should go forward.
Selections:
- Valilee - $3.10
- Harry The Thief - $7.00
- Emalyn - $3.60
- Charlina - $5.50
Race 8 - Cabac - Martec - Hager BM64 Handicap (1625m)
Selection: Blue Eyed Brigid Current odds: $1.50
Blue Eyed Brigid was narrowly beaten when heavily backed at Hawkesbury last start. The Brad Widdup and Zac Lloyd combination has a high strike rate. The price is short, but this is the clear form runner. Federal Reserve drops out of Rosehill grade and can improve on a ninth placing. Inception has placed twice this preparation and gets some weight relief.
Selections:
- Blue Eyed Brigid - $1.50
- Federal Reserve - $5.00
- Inception - $9.50
- Grunge - $19.00
