Best Bet
Sydney Kings -4.5 at $1.90. The Kings are 3-0, all at home, have won by an average of 19 points and have covered the line every time. Adelaide have won two of their six games and lost at home to United on Wednesday. We rate this as one of our stronger NBL bets this round.
The reasoning
Sydney lead the league in scoring with 108.3 points a game. They also lead the league in field-goal and three-point shooting. They have beaten Cairns 111-90, Illawarra 121-100 and Brisbane 93-78. They have had a few days off before this game, while Adelaide are playing again after Wednesday night.
Kendric Davis is averaging 27 points, with scores of 26, 31 and 24. Adelaide have struggled to stop good guards, conceding more than 93 points a game, and gave up 114 in one game this season.
Adelaide average 88.7 points, ninth in the league, and are shooting only 32.2% from three. Bryce Cotton has had a poor week and needs a big game for Adelaide to stay close.
History favours Sydney at home too. They have scored 106 points or more in each of their last four home games against Adelaide, winning by 12, 13 and 44 in three of the last five meetings.
Main danger: Adelaide won the last two meetings in Adelaide by one and two points, so they can make games close. If Cotton has a big day, the 4.5-point line could be too many.
Same Game Multi (SGM)
SGM (3 legs):
- Sydney Kings to win - unbeaten at home and rested.
- Sydney Kings over 99.5 team points - they have scored 111 or more twice this season and 106 or more in each of their last four home games against Adelaide.
- Kendric Davis 26+ points - he is averaging 27 and has reached 24 or more in every game.
Combined price: $6.80
How we’d play it
- Main bet: Kings -4.5 at $1.90.
- Other option: Nick Rakocevic has 12 or more rebounds in three of six games and is around $2.05 for 12+. That is a small bet on the Adelaide side.
- SGM: Small stake only.
- Tip-off is 3:00pm AEDT on Sunday at Afterpay Arena.
